Question 5

Ishika speaks truth in 60% of cases and Mishika in 85% of cases. Ishika and Mishika agree in astatement. Find the probability that the statement is true.

Solution

For both Ishika and Mishika to agree on a statement either both have to speak the truth or both have to speak false.

Probability of both speaking truth = (60/100)*(85/100) = 204/400

Probability of both speaking false = (40/100)*(15/100) = 24/400

The probability that the statement is true when Ishika and Mishika both agree on a statement = (204/400)/{(204/400)+(24/400)} = 204/228 = 51/57


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