Question 4

During the next year, the probability that a Company A releases a mobile is 0.7. The probability that mobile is a success. given that it is released by the Company is 0.8. The probability that a mobile is a success and released by a Company B is 0.28. A mobile released by either Company A or Company B during the next one year is a success. Find the probability that it is released by Company A.

Solution

Probability that A releases a mobile = 0.7
Probability that mobile is a success given that it is released by A = 0.8
Probability that mobile is released by A and is success = 0.8*0.7 = 0.56
And probability that mobile is a success and released by B = 0.28
Total probability for success = 0.56+0.28 = 0.84
Now Probability that it is success and is released by A = 0.56/0.84 = 2/3

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