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Question Stem
Three numbers are chosen at random, one after another with replacement, from the set $$S = \left\{1, 2, 3, β¦, 100 \right\}$$. Let $$p_1$$ be the probability that the maximum of chosen numbers is at least 81 and $$p_2$$ be the probability that the minimum of chosen numbers is at most 40.
To find $$p_2$$, we interpret the event in words:
βMinimum of the three chosen numbers is at most 40.β
It is usually simpler to work with the complement of this event.
Step 1 - Define the complement
The complement is: βAll three chosen numbers are > 40β, i.e. each number lies in $$\{41,42,\ldots ,100\}$$.
Step 2 - Probability for one draw
Count of favourable numbers for the complement in one draw = $$100-40=60$$.
Probability that a single draw gives a number > 40 is therefore$$\frac{60}{100}=\frac{3}{5}$$.
Step 3 - Independent draws with replacement
Because the three draws are independent (replacement), the probability that all three numbers exceed 40 equals$$\left(\frac{3}{5}\right)^{3}=\frac{27}{125}\;.\tag{-1}$$
Step 4 - Compute $$p_2$$ using the complement
$$p_2 = 1-\text{(probability of complement)} = 1-\frac{27}{125}=\frac{98}{125}\;.\tag{-2}$$
Step 5 - Evaluate $$\dfrac{125}{4}\,p_2$$
$$\frac{125}{4}\,p_2 = \frac{125}{4}\times\frac{98}{125}= \frac{98}{4}=24.5\;.\tag{-3}$$
Hence, the required value is 24.5, which lies in the given range 24.40 - 24.60.
Final answer: 24.5
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